2025 ACC Football Standings Simulator

Lock winners or adjust win probabilities for open games and see how the standings change.

Data sources & rules
Updated
Results
CollegeFootballData
Win probabilities
None needed
Rules
ACC 2025 (2023–2025 policy) · acc-2023-2025.v1

Scenario controls

Model baseline · no changes

2025 ACC Standings

Current standings

PosTeamConfPct
1Virginia7-1.875
2Duke6-2.750
3Miami6-2.750
4Georgia Tech6-2.750
5SMU6-2.750
6Pittsburgh6-2.750
7Louisville4-4.500
8Wake Forest4-4.500
9NC State4-4.500
10California4-4.500
11Clemson4-4.500
12Stanford3-5.375
13Florida State2-6.250
14Virginia Tech2-6.250
15North Carolina2-6.250
16Boston College1-7.125
17Syracuse1-7.125

Tiebreakers

2

Position 2 tie: Duke 6-2, Georgia Tech 6-2, Miami 6-2, Pittsburgh 6-2, SMU 6-2 (.750 pct)

Resolved: Duke › Miami › Georgia Tech › SMU › Pittsburgh

Show steps

  1. Combined head-to-head win percentage among all tied teams, if all tied teams are common opponents.

    Not applicable

  2. If all tied teams are not common opponents: a tied team that defeated each of the other tied teams is selected; a tied team that lost to each of the other tied teams is eliminated.

    No separation
    Results against tied teams
    Results against tied teamsRecordPct
    Duke(did not play every tied team)0-1.000
    Georgia Tech(did not play every tied team)1-1.500
    Miami(did not play every tied team)1-1.500
    Pittsburgh(did not play every tied team)1-1.500
    SMU(did not play every tied team)1-01.000

  3. Win percentage against all common conference opponents.

    No separation
    Record vs common opponents
    Record vs common opponentsRecordPct
    Duke1-01.000
    Georgia Tech1-01.000
    Miami1-01.000
    Pittsburgh1-01.000
    SMU1-01.000

    Common opponents: Syracuse

  4. Win percentage against common opponents based on their order of finish in the conference standings, proceeding through the other common opponents by order of finish.

    No separation
    Record vs common opponents by order of finish
    Record vs common opponents by order of finishRecordPct
    Duke(vs Syracuse)1-01.000
    Georgia Tech(vs Syracuse)1-01.000
    Miami(vs Syracuse)1-01.000
    Pittsburgh(vs Syracuse)1-01.000
    SMU(vs Syracuse)1-01.000

    Interpretation (unconfirmed by the league): "Order of finish" for common opponents is taken from conference win percentage, with equal-record opponents compared together.

  5. Combined win percentage of all conference opponents played by each tied team.

    Partially decided

    Order: Duke › Georgia Tech / Miami › Pittsburgh / SMU

    Combined record of each team's conference opponents
    Combined record of each team's conference opponentsRecordPct
    Duke32-32.500
    Georgia Tech28-36.438
    Miami28-36.438
    Pittsburgh27-37.422
    SMU27-37.422

  6. Head-to-head competition between the two tied teams.

    Not applicable

  7. Win percentage against all common conference opponents.

    Decided

    Order: Miami › Georgia Tech

    Record vs common opponents
    Record vs common opponentsRecordPct
    Georgia Tech2-2.500
    Miami4-01.000

    Common opponents: NC State, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Virginia Tech

  8. Head-to-head competition between the two tied teams.

    Not applicable

  9. Win percentage against all common conference opponents.

    Decided

    Order: SMU › Pittsburgh

    Record vs common opponents
    Record vs common opponentsRecordPct
    Pittsburgh3-2.600
    SMU5-01.000

    Common opponents: Boston College, Louisville, Miami, Stanford, Syracuse

7

Position 7 tie: California 4-4, Clemson 4-4, Louisville 4-4, NC State 4-4, Wake Forest 4-4 (.500 pct)

Resolved: Louisville › Wake Forest › NC State › California › Clemson

Show steps

  1. Combined head-to-head win percentage among all tied teams, if all tied teams are common opponents.

    Not applicable

  2. If all tied teams are not common opponents: a tied team that defeated each of the other tied teams is selected; a tied team that lost to each of the other tied teams is eliminated.

    No separation
    Results against tied teams
    Results against tied teamsRecordPct
    California(did not play every tied team)1-01.000
    Clemson(did not play every tied team)1-01.000
    Louisville(did not play every tied team)0-2.000
    NC State(did not play every tied team)1-01.000
    Wake Forest(did not play every tied team)0-1.000

  3. Win percentage against all common conference opponents.

    Not applicable

  4. Win percentage against common opponents based on their order of finish in the conference standings, proceeding through the other common opponents by order of finish.

    Not applicable

    Interpretation (unconfirmed by the league): "Order of finish" for common opponents is taken from conference win percentage, with equal-record opponents compared together.

  5. Combined win percentage of all conference opponents played by each tied team.

    Decided

    Order: Louisville › Wake Forest › NC State › California › Clemson

    Combined record of each team's conference opponents
    Combined record of each team's conference opponentsRecordPct
    California31-33.484
    Clemson28-36.438
    Louisville36-28.563
    NC State34-30.531
    Wake Forest35-29.547
13

Position 13 tie: Florida State 2-6, North Carolina 2-6, Virginia Tech 2-6 (.250 pct)

Resolved: Florida State › Virginia Tech › North Carolina

Show steps

  1. Combined head-to-head win percentage among all tied teams, if all tied teams are common opponents.

    Not applicable

  2. If all tied teams are not common opponents: a tied team that defeated each of the other tied teams is selected; a tied team that lost to each of the other tied teams is eliminated.

    No separation
    Results against tied teams
    Results against tied teamsRecordPct
    Florida State(did not play every tied team)1-01.000
    North Carolina(did not play every tied team)0-0—
    Virginia Tech(did not play every tied team)0-1.000

  3. Win percentage against all common conference opponents.

    Partially decided

    Order: Florida State / Virginia Tech › North Carolina

    Record vs common opponents
    Record vs common opponentsRecordPct
    Florida State1-2.333
    North Carolina0-3.000
    Virginia Tech1-2.333

    Common opponents: NC State, Virginia, Wake Forest

  4. Head-to-head competition between the two tied teams.

    Decided

    Order: Florida State › Virginia Tech

    Head-to-head
    Head-to-headRecordPct
    Florida State1-01.000
    Virginia Tech0-1.000
16

Position 16 tie: Boston College 1-7, Syracuse 1-7 (.125 pct)

Resolved: Boston College › Syracuse

Show steps

  1. Head-to-head competition between the two tied teams.

    Decided

    Order: Boston College › Syracuse

    Head-to-head
    Head-to-headRecordPct
    Boston College1-01.000
    Syracuse0-1.000

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